Probability and conditional probability — Topic practice
5 exercises · 5 automatically checked · Untimed
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5 questions · Shuffled order · Untimed practice
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Question 1
Guide question E5A
A box has 6 silver, 9 gold, and 5 black tokens. One token is selected uniformly at random. What is the probability that it is gold?
Enter an integer, decimal or fraction without units. Use up to 5 characters, or 6 including a leading minus.
Why this answer
Answer:9/20
There are 20 equally likely individual tokens, 9 of them gold. The probability is 9/20. Three colors do not imply equal color probabilities.
Of 30 club members, 12 pay for an event. Of 50 nonmembers, 8 pay. Given that a randomly selected person from these 80 people is a club member, what is the probability that the person pays?
Enter an integer, decimal or fraction without units. Use up to 5 characters, or 6 including a leading minus.
Why this answer
Answer:2/5
Condition on the 30 members. Twelve pay, so the conditional probability is 12/30 = 2/5. The 50 nonmembers have been excluded from the eligible group.
Supplier A makes 80% of parts and has a 1% defect rate. Supplier B makes 20% and has a 4% defect rate. Given that a randomly selected part is defective, what is the probability that it came from B?
Enter an integer, decimal or fraction without units. Use up to 5 characters, or 6 including a leading minus.
Why this answer
Answer:1/2
The shares of all parts that are defective from A and B are 0.80(0.01) = 0.008 and 0.20(0.04) = 0.008. B supplies half of the total defective share 0.016, so the conditional probability is 0.008/0.016 = 1/2.